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Expected Value
The expected value of opening a treasure chest is currently 2.45 tickets. This is calculated using our current buy prices and the data published by Wizards of the Coast as of November 10, 2021. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 tickets each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.25 tickets which is 51% of the total chest value. Therefore, you should only open treasure chests if you can use the play points. We never open them ourselves because our bots have no use for play points.
Slot
Ev
#1 20%, 30%, 0%, 25%, 25%
1.60
#2 100% Modern R/M
0.35
#3 100% 5 Play Points
0.50
#4 1% Avatar
0.00
Total
2.45
Type
Ev
Curated Card
3.73
Modern R/M
0.35
Avatar
0.00
Play Points
2.48
5 Play Points
0.50
Chance
Value
0%
< 0.50
77%
0.50 to 2.00
17%
2.00 to 5.00
5%
5.00 to 26.00
1%
> 26.00
Top 100 Curated Cards
The list below contains the most important cards that are currently in treasure chests. The cards are sorted by the expected value they add to a treasure chest. The curated card list is usually updated by Wizards of the Coast when a new set is released on Magic Online.
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
1 : 1,500
0.06
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
1 : 1,700
0.06
Endurance
1 : 1,100
0.04
Urza's Saga
1 : 1,100
0.04
Solitude
1 : 1,100
0.04
Teferi, Time Raveler #Japanese
1 : 1,500
0.03
Force of Negation
1 : 1,700
0.03
Wrenn and Six
1 : 2,800
0.02
Teferi, Time Raveler #Stained-Glass
1 : 1,500
0.03
Force of Vigor
1 : 2,200
0.02
Force of Negation
1 : 2,000
0.02
Teferi, Time Raveler
1 : 2,000
0.02
Fury
1 : 1,100
0.02
Force of Vigor
1 : 2,700
0.02
Karn, the Great Creator #Stained-Glass
1 : 1,500
0.01
Karn, the Great Creator
1 : 2,000
0.01
Grief
1 : 1,100
0.01
Murktide Regent
1 : 1,200
0.01
Mishra's Bauble
1 : 4,400
0.01
Hall of Storm Giants
1 : 3,900
0.01
Sunbaked Canyon
1 : 2,700
0.009
Den of the Bugbear
1 : 3,900
0.009
Hullbreacher
1 : 4,400
0.008
The Meathook Massacre
1 : 4,400
0.008
Chalice of the Void
1 : 2,000
0.008
Eidolon of the Great Revel
1 : 2,000
0.008
Scalding Tarn #Old-Frame
1 : 3,900
0.005
Misty Rainforest #Old-Frame
1 : 3,900
0.004
Endurance
1 : 7,700
0.007
Modern Horizons 2 Full Set
1 : 52,000
0.007
Raugrin Triome
1 : 3,900
0.006
Cavern of Souls
1 : 2,000
0.006
Solitude
1 : 7,700
0.006
Engineered Explosives
1 : 3,900
0.006
Wrenn and Seven
1 : 4,400
0.006
Omnath, Locus of Creation
1 : 4,400
0.006
Innistrad: Crimson Vow Booster
1 : 520
0.006
Retrofitter Foundry
1 : 4,400
0.006
Modern Horizons 2 Booster
1 : 1,000
0.006
Wasteland
1 : 4,400
0.006
Archmage's Charm
1 : 1,700
0.005
Foil Modern Horizons 2 Full Set
1 : 52,000
0.005
Archmage's Charm
1 : 2,000
0.005
Seasoned Pyromancer
1 : 2,800
0.005
Sorin the Mirthless
1 : 4,400
0.005
Memory Deluge
1 : 2,200
0.005
Commander Legends Booster
1 : 1,000
0.005
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
1 : 3,900
0.005
Elvish Reclaimer
1 : 2,000
0.005
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
1 : 4,400
0.005
Polluted Delta
1 : 2,700
0.004
Tasha's Hideous Laughter
1 : 3,900
0.004
Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Full Set
1 : 52,000
0.004
Laelia, the Blade Reforged
1 : 2,200
0.004
Chandra, Dressed to Kill
1 : 4,400
0.004
Omnath, Locus of Creation
1 : 7,700
0.004
Wrenn and Seven
1 : 7,700
0.004
Sorin the Mirthless
1 : 7,700
0.004
Carpet of Flowers
1 : 4,400
0.004
Opposition Agent
1 : 4,400
0.004
Flooded Strand
1 : 2,700
0.004
Foil Innistrad: Midnight Hunt Redeemable Set
1 : 52,000
0.004
Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Booster
1 : 1,000
0.004
Foil Innistrad: Crimson Vow Redeemable Set
1 : 52,000
0.004
Skyclave Apparition
1 : 3,900
0.004
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
1 : 4,400
0.004
Tasha's Hideous Laughter
1 : 4,400
0.004
The Meathook Massacre
1 : 7,700
0.004
Surgical Extraction
1 : 2,000
0.004
Allosaurus Shepherd
1 : 8,700
0.003
Volcanic Island #125
1 : 1,500
0.003
Intrepid Adversary
1 : 4,400
0.003
Thoughtseize
1 : 3,900
0.003
Demilich
1 : 7,700
0.003
Flusterstorm
1 : 3,900
0.003
Skyclave Apparition
1 : 4,400
0.003
Ketria Triome
1 : 3,900
0.003
Brazen Borrower
1 : 4,400
0.003
Memory Deluge
1 : 3,900
0.003
Force of Will #0
1 : 8,700
0.003
Foil Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Full Set
1 : 52,000
0.003
Chandra, Dressed to Kill
1 : 7,700
0.003
Lier, Disciple of the Drowned #Showcase
1 : 1,400
0.003
Prismatic Vista
1 : 2,200
0.003
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt Redeemable Set
1 : 52,000
0.003
Lolth, Spider Queen
1 : 7,700
0.003
Thoughtseize
1 : 3,900
0.003
Innistrad: Crimson Vow Redeemable Set
1 : 52,000
0.003
Windswept Heath
1 : 2,700
0.003
Fury
1 : 7,700
0.003
Scalding Tarn
1 : 2,200
0.002
Prismatic Vista
1 : 2,700
0.002
Tourach, Dread Cantor #Old-Frame
1 : 7,700
0.001
Cultivator Colossus
1 : 4,400
0.002
Bloodstained Mire
1 : 2,700
0.002
Cultivator Colossus
1 : 7,700
0.002
Fiery Islet
1 : 2,700
0.002
Collected Company
1 : 2,000
0.002
Verdant Catacombs #Old-Frame
1 : 3,900
0.002
Silent Clearing
1 : 2,700
0.002
