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Expected Value
The expected value of opening a treasure chest is currently 2.49 tickets. This is calculated using our current buy prices and the data published by Wizards of the Coast as of September 16, 2021. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 tickets each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.25 tickets which is 50% of the total chest value. Therefore, you should only open treasure chests if you can use the play points. We never open them ourselves because our bots have no use for play points.
Slot
Ev
#1 20%, 30%, 0%, 25%, 25%
1.61
#2 100% Modern R/M
0.38
#3 100% 5 Play Points
0.50
#4 1% Avatar
0.00
Total
2.49
Type
Ev
Curated Card
3.78
Modern R/M
0.38
Avatar
0.00
Play Points
2.48
5 Play Points
0.50
Chance
Value
0%
< 0.50
70%
0.50 to 2.00
24%
2.00 to 5.00
5%
5.00 to 22.00
1%
> 22.00
Top 100 Curated Cards
The list below contains the most important cards that are currently in treasure chests. The cards are sorted by the expected value they add to a treasure chest. The curated card list is usually updated by Wizards of the Coast when a new set is released on Magic Online.
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
1 : 1,100
0.07
Solitude
1 : 1,600
0.04
Force of Negation
1 : 1,300
0.04
Endurance
1 : 1,600
0.04
Teferi, Time Raveler
1 : 1,700
0.04
Force of Negation
1 : 1,700
0.03
Urza's Saga
1 : 1,700
0.03
Wrenn and Six
1 : 2,200
0.02
Force of Vigor
1 : 1,600
0.02
Fury
1 : 1,600
0.02
Chalice of the Void
1 : 1,700
0.02
Archmage's Charm
1 : 1,300
0.02
Karn, the Great Creator
1 : 1,700
0.02
Force of Vigor
1 : 2,400
0.01
Misty Rainforest #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.007
Archmage's Charm
1 : 1,700
0.01
Retrofitter Foundry
1 : 3,200
0.01
Scalding Tarn #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.006
Modern Horizons 2 Full Set
1 : 38,000
0.01
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
1 : 7,600
0.01
Modern Horizons 2 Booster
1 : 760
0.01
Verdant Catacombs #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.005
Murktide Regent
1 : 2,200
0.009
Sunbaked Canyon
1 : 2,400
0.009
Grief
1 : 1,600
0.009
Endurance
1 : 7,600
0.009
Solitude
1 : 7,600
0.009
Foil Modern Horizons 2 Full Set
1 : 38,000
0.008
Cavern of Souls
1 : 1,700
0.008
Seasoned Pyromancer
1 : 2,200
0.008
Mishra's Bauble
1 : 3,200
0.007
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt Booster
1 : 380
0.007
Prismari Command
1 : 1,600
0.007
Foil Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Redeemable Set
1 : 38,000
0.007
Flusterstorm
1 : 3,800
0.007
Wrenn and Seven
1 : 3,200
0.007
Commander Legends Booster
1 : 760
0.007
Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Redeemable Set
1 : 38,000
0.006
Eidolon of the Great Revel
1 : 1,700
0.006
Hullbreacher
1 : 3,200
0.006
Wasteland
1 : 3,200
0.006
Omnath, Locus of Creation
1 : 3,200
0.005
Brazen Borrower
1 : 3,200
0.005
Foil Innistrad: Midnight Hunt Redeemable Set
1 : 38,000
0.005
Engineered Explosives
1 : 3,800
0.005
Surgical Extraction
1 : 1,700
0.005
Acererak the Archlich
1 : 3,200
0.005
Shark Typhoon
1 : 3,200
0.005
Skyclave Apparition
1 : 3,200
0.004
Laelia, the Blade Reforged
1 : 1,600
0.004
Shark Typhoon
1 : 3,800
0.004
Carpet of Flowers
1 : 3,200
0.004
Demilich
1 : 7,600
0.004
Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Booster
1 : 760
0.004
Flusterstorm
1 : 6,400
0.004
Wrenn and Seven
1 : 7,600
0.004
Allosaurus Shepherd
1 : 6,400
0.004
Prismari Command
1 : 3,800
0.004
Prismatic Vista
1 : 1,600
0.004
Goldspan Dragon
1 : 3,200
0.004
Aggressive Mammoth
1 : 3,800
0.004
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt Redeemable Set
1 : 38,000
0.004
Opposition Agent
1 : 3,200
0.004
Force of Will #0
1 : 6,400
0.004
Scalding Tarn
1 : 1,600
0.004
Memory Deluge
1 : 1,600
0.004
Fiery Islet
1 : 2,400
0.004
Skyclave Apparition
1 : 3,800
0.003
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
1 : 3,200
0.003
Tasha's Hideous Laughter
1 : 3,800
0.003
Intrepid Adversary
1 : 3,200
0.003
Fury
1 : 7,600
0.003
Marsh Flats #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.002
Dockside Extortionist
1 : 6,400
0.003
Flooded Strand
1 : 2,400
0.003
Polluted Delta
1 : 2,400
0.003
Hall of Storm Giants
1 : 3,800
0.003
The Meathook Massacre
1 : 3,200
0.003
Arid Mesa #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.002
Snuff Out
1 : 3,200
0.003
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
1 : 3,200
0.003
Sanctifier en-Vec #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.002
Acererak the Archlich
1 : 7,600
0.003
Prismatic Vista
1 : 2,400
0.003
Ranger Class
1 : 3,800
0.003
Lurrus of the Dream-Den
1 : 3,800
0.003
Void Mirror #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.002
Wooded Foothills
1 : 2,400
0.003
Silent Clearing
1 : 2,400
0.003
Horizon Canopy
1 : 1,700
0.003
Omnath, Locus of Creation
1 : 7,600
0.003
Strixhaven: School of Mages Full Set
1 : 38,000
0.003
Verdant Catacombs
1 : 1,600
0.003
Brazen Borrower
1 : 7,600
0.003
Aether Vial
1 : 3,200
0.003
Grist, the Hunger Tide
1 : 3,200
0.003
Misty Rainforest
1 : 1,600
0.003
Elvish Reclaimer
1 : 1,700
0.003
Tourach, Dread Cantor #Old-Frame
1 : 7,600
0.001
Persist #Old-Frame
1 : 3,800
0.001
