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Expected Value
The expected value of opening a treasure chest is currently 2.32 tickets. This is calculated using our current buy prices and the data published by Wizards of the Coast as of April 26, 2022. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 tickets each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.25 tickets which is 54% of the total chest value. Therefore, you should only open treasure chests if you can use the play points. We never open them ourselves because our bots have no use for play points.
Slot
Ev
#1 20%, 30%, 0%, 25%, 25%
1.50
#2 100% Modern R/M
0.31
#3 100% 5 Play Points
0.50
#4 1% Avatar
0.00
Total
2.32
Type
Ev
Curated Card
3.32
Modern R/M
0.31
Avatar
0.00
Play Points
2.48
5 Play Points
0.50
Chance
Value
0%
< 0.50
77%
0.50 to 2.00
17%
2.00 to 5.00
5%
5.00 to 26.00
1%
> 26.00
Top 100 Curated Cards
The list below contains the most important cards that are currently in treasure chests. The cards are sorted by the expected value they add to a treasure chest. The curated card list is usually updated by Wizards of the Coast when a new set is released on Magic Online.
Den of the Bugbear
1 : 850
0.04
Urza's Saga
1 : 1,400
0.04
Endurance
1 : 1,600
0.03
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
1 : 1,300
0.03
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer #Old-Frame
1 : 1,600
0.03
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer #36
1 : 1,600
0.03
Wrenn and Six
1 : 2,300
0.02
Solitude
1 : 1,600
0.02
Ledger Shredder
1 : 2,600
0.02
Murktide Regent
1 : 1,700
0.02
Mishra's Bauble
1 : 1,600
0.02
Hall of Storm Giants
1 : 850
0.01
Force of Negation
1 : 2,600
0.01
Ledger Shredder
1 : 4,000
0.01
Force of Negation
1 : 2,500
0.01
Fury
1 : 1,600
0.01
Teferi, Time Raveler
1 : 2,500
0.01
Karn, the Great Creator
1 : 2,500
0.01
Preordain #Old-Frame
1 : 1,600
0.01
Boseiju, Who Endures #136
1 : 3,200
0.01
The Meathook Massacre
1 : 1,600
0.01
Boseiju, Who Endures #137
1 : 3,200
0.01
Boseiju, Who Endures
1 : 4,000
0.01
Brazen Borrower
1 : 3,200
0.01
Force of Vigor
1 : 3,000
0.009
Teferi, Time Raveler #Japanese
1 : 2,900
0.009
Teferi, Time Raveler #Stained-Glass
1 : 2,900
0.009
Endurance
1 : 7,900
0.008
Force of Vigor
1 : 3,200
0.008
The Wandering Emperor
1 : 6,400
0.007
The Wandering Emperor
1 : 7,900
0.007
Mishra's Bauble
1 : 3,200
0.006
Karn, the Great Creator #Stained-Glass
1 : 4,300
0.006
Prismatic Ending #Old-Frame
1 : 2,100
0.006
Chandra, Dressed to Kill
1 : 3,200
0.006
Cultivator Colossus
1 : 3,200
0.006
Chalice of the Void
1 : 2,500
0.006
Seasoned Pyromancer
1 : 3,600
0.006
Archmage's Charm
1 : 2,500
0.006
Archmage's Charm
1 : 2,600
0.005
Lotus Petal
1 : 4,800
0.005
Cavern of Souls
1 : 2,500
0.005
Hullbreacher
1 : 6,400
0.005
Unlicensed Hearse
1 : 2,600
0.005
Grief
1 : 1,600
0.005
Lair of the Hydra
1 : 4,000
0.005
Mishra's Bauble
1 : 4,800
0.004
Solitude
1 : 7,900
0.004
Ob Nixilis, the Adversary
1 : 4,800
0.004
The Meathook Massacre
1 : 7,900
0.004
Commander Legends Booster
1 : 1,500
0.004
Sunbaked Canyon
1 : 3,000
0.004
Brazen Borrower
1 : 7,900
0.004
Skyclave Apparition
1 : 2,100
0.004
Hive of the Eye Tyrant
1 : 4,000
0.004
Cultivator Colossus
1 : 7,900
0.004
Modern Horizons 2 Full Set
1 : 77,000
0.004
Modern Horizons 2 Booster
1 : 1,500
0.004
Eidolon of the Great Revel
1 : 2,500
0.004
Kappa Cannoneer
1 : 1,100
0.004
Omnath, Locus of Creation
1 : 7,900
0.004
Omnath, Locus of Creation
1 : 6,400
0.004
Spirebluff Canal
1 : 4,000
0.004
Wasteland
1 : 6,400
0.003
Flusterstorm
1 : 4,000
0.003
Scalding Tarn #Old-Frame
1 : 4,000
0.002
Otawara, Soaring City #131
1 : 3,200
0.003
Misty Rainforest #Old-Frame
1 : 4,000
0.002
Unlicensed Hearse
1 : 4,000
0.003
Otawara, Soaring City #130
1 : 3,200
0.003
Foil Modern Horizons 2 Full Set
1 : 77,000
0.003
Otawara, Soaring City
1 : 4,000
0.003
Ob Nixilis, the Adversary
1 : 7,900
0.003
Chandra, Dressed to Kill
1 : 7,900
0.003
Kappa Cannoneer
1 : 1,600
0.003
Mana Confluence
1 : 3,000
0.003
Riverglide Pathway
1 : 4,000
0.003
March of Otherworldly Light
1 : 3,200
0.003
Swift Reconfiguration
1 : 3,200
0.003
Polluted Delta
1 : 3,000
0.003
Skyclave Apparition
1 : 4,000
0.003
Fable of the Mirror-Breaker
1 : 3,200
0.003
Carpet of Flowers
1 : 6,400
0.003
Fury
1 : 7,900
0.003
Opposition Agent
1 : 6,400
0.003
Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Booster
1 : 1,500
0.002
Lotus Field
1 : 4,000
0.002
Stormcarved Coast
1 : 4,000
0.002
Flooded Strand
1 : 3,000
0.002
Memory Deluge
1 : 2,100
0.002
Snuff Out
1 : 6,400
0.002
Treasure Vault
1 : 4,000
0.002
Chandra, Awakened Inferno
1 : 7,900
0.002
Fable of the Mirror-Breaker
1 : 4,000
0.002
Blightstep Pathway
1 : 4,000
0.002
Thoughtseize
1 : 4,000
0.002
Volcanic Island #125
1 : 2,100
0.002
Surgical Extraction
1 : 2,500
0.002
Engineered Explosives
1 : 4,000
0.002
Thoughtseize
1 : 4,000
0.002
