Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all Magic Online formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.44)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of September 24th 2019. Play points are calculated as 0.10 each so you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
71%   0.50 to 2.00
20%   2.00 to 5.00
8%   5.00 to 17.00
1%   More than 17.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   3.37
Modern R/M   0.24
Avatar   0.00
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.54
#2   0.40
#3   0.50
#4   0.00

Phantom

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.30 +7.30
    1x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

Sealed ELD Competitive

Entry Cost (-23.08)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x ELD Booster (3.18)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+7.32)

6x ELD Booster (1.22)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x ELD Booster (3.12) 54.72 +38.96
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   3x ELD Booster (3.12) 33.36 +17.60
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   1x ELD Booster (3.12) 15.12 -0.64
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
2 - 3       -15.76
1 - 4       -15.76
0 - 5       -15.76

Sealed ELD Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-23.08)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x ELD Booster (3.18)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+7.32)

6x ELD Booster (1.22)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ELD Booster (3.12) 41.36 +25.60
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ELD Booster (3.12) 37.24 +21.48
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ELD Booster (3.12) 33.12 +17.36
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +13.24
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +2.24
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -3.76
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -9.76
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -10.76
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -11.76
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -12.76

Sealed ELD Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-26.26)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x ELD Booster (3.18)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+8.54)

7x ELD Booster (1.22)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ELD Booster (3.12) 41.36 +23.64
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ELD Booster (3.12) 37.24 +19.52
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ELD Booster (3.12) 33.12 +15.40
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +11.28
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +0.28
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -5.72
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -11.72
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -12.72
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -13.72
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -14.72

Sealed ELD Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-29.44)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x ELD Booster (3.18)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+9.76)

8x ELD Booster (1.22)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ELD Booster (3.12) 41.36 +21.68
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ELD Booster (3.12) 37.24 +17.56
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ELD Booster (3.12) 33.12 +13.44
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +9.32
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -1.68
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -7.68
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -13.68
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -14.68
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -15.68
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -16.68

Draft ELD Competitive

Entry Cost (-14.54)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ELD Booster (3.18)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.66)

3x ELD Booster (1.22)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ELD Booster (3.12) 33.72 +22.84
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   3x ELD Booster (3.12) 24.36 +13.48
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
1 - 1       -10.88
0 - 1       -10.88

Draft ELD League

Entry Cost (-11.54)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ELD Booster (3.18)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.66)

3x ELD Booster (1.22)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ELD Booster (3.12) 18.72 +10.84
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   2x ELD Booster (3.12) 6.24 -1.64
1 - 2       -7.88
0 - 3       -7.88

Draft M20 Queue

Entry Cost (-8.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M20 Booster (2.00)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+4.11)

3x M20 Booster (1.37)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M20 Booster (1.91) 11.46 +7.57
2 - 1   2x M20 Booster (1.91) 3.82 -0.07
1 - 2       -3.89
0 - 3       -3.89

Draft MED Queue

Entry Cost (-10.13)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x MED Booster (2.71)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.60)

3x MED Booster (1.20)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x MED Booster (2.41) 14.46 +7.93
2 - 1   2x MED Booster (2.41) 4.82 -1.71
1 - 2       -6.53
0 - 3       -6.53

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 40.30 +30.30
    11x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    5x Format Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 23.50 +13.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    2x Format Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.30 +2.30
    1x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x Format Point (0.00)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

7 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 417.9 +392.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x M20 Set (137.99)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
6 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 222.5 +197.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 155.0 +130.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 97.50 +72.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.00 +28.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
2 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
1 - 1       -25.00
0 - 1       -25.00

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

6 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 417.9 +392.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x M20 Set (137.99)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 222.5 +197.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 155.0 +130.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 97.50 +72.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.00 +28.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
1 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
0 - 1       -25.00