Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all Magic Online formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.41)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of February 2nd 2021. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.25 which is 52% of the total chest value. Therefore you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
67%   0.50 to 2.00
25%   2.00 to 5.00
7%   5.00 to 21.00
1%   More than 21.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   3.87
Modern R/M   0.30
Avatar   0.00
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.61
#2   0.30
#3   0.50
#4   0.00
Top 25 Cards Set Chance Value Added EV
Force of Negation MH1 1 in 1,5k 74 0.05
ZNR Redeemable Set ZNR 1 in 3,1k 143 0.05
KHM Redeemable Set KHM 1 in 3,1k 121 0.04
Hullbreacher PRM 1 in 2,6k 80 0.03
Wrenn and Six MH1 1 in 1,9k 53 0.03
Karn, the Great Creator WAR 1 in 1,5k 35 0.02
Commander Legends Booster CMR 1 in 310 7 0.02
Seasoned Pyromancer MH1 1 in 1,9k 38 0.02
Kaldheim Booster KHM 1 in 160 3 0.02
THB Redeemable Set THB 1 in 3,1k 60 0.02
M21 Redeemable Set M21 1 in 3,1k 58 0.02
ELD Redeemable Set ELD 1 in 3,1k 58 0.02
IKO Redeemable Set IKO 1 in 3,1k 55 0.02
Force of Will PRM 1 in 2,6k 41 0.02
Valki, God of Lies PRM 1 in 2,6k 35 0.01
Valki, God of Lies PRM 1 in 2,6k 35 0.01
Allosaurus Shepherd JMP 1 in 2,6k 34 0.01
Foil KHM Redeemable Set KHM 1 in 16k 191 0.01
Auriok Champion 5DN 1 in 3,4k 39 0.01
Foil ZNR Redeemable Set ZNR 1 in 16k 176 0.01
Scourge of the Skyclaves PRM 1 in 2,6k 29 0.01
Zendikar Rising Booster ZNR 1 in 160 2 0.01
Goldspan Dragon PRM 1 in 1,3k 14 0.01
Teferi, Time Raveler WAR 1 in 3,4k 36 0.01
Force of Vigor MH1 1 in 1,5k 14 0.01

Phantom Draft League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.35 +7.35
    1x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

KHM Sealed Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-23.44)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x KHM Booster (3.24)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.34)

6x KHM Booster (0.89)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x KHM Booster (3.18) 41.54 +23.44
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x KHM Booster (3.18) 37.36 +19.26
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x KHM Booster (3.18) 33.18 +15.08
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +10.90
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -0.10
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -6.10
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -12.10
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -13.10
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -14.10
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -15.10

KHM Sealed Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-26.68)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x KHM Booster (3.24)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.23)

7x KHM Booster (0.89)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x KHM Booster (3.18) 41.54 +21.09
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x KHM Booster (3.18) 37.36 +16.91
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x KHM Booster (3.18) 33.18 +12.73
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +8.55
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -2.45
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -8.45
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -14.45
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -15.45
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -16.45
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -17.45

KHM Sealed Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-29.92)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x KHM Booster (3.24)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+7.12)

8x KHM Booster (0.89)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x KHM Booster (3.18) 41.54 +18.74
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x KHM Booster (3.18) 37.36 +14.56
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x KHM Booster (3.18) 33.18 +10.38
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +6.20
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -4.80
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -10.80
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -16.80
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -17.80
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -18.80
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -19.80

KHM Sealed Competitive

Entry Cost (-23.44)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x KHM Booster (3.24)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.34)

6x KHM Booster (0.89)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x KHM Booster (3.18) 59.08 +40.98
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   3x KHM Booster (3.18) 35.14 +17.04
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   1x KHM Booster (3.18) 15.98 -2.12
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 3       -18.10
1 - 4       -18.10
0 - 5       -18.10

KHM Draft Competitive

Entry Cost (-14.72)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x KHM Booster (3.24)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.67)

3x KHM Booster (0.89)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x KHM Booster (3.18) 36.48 +24.43
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 1   3x KHM Booster (3.18) 25.34 +13.29
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 1       -12.05
0 - 1       -12.05

KHM Draft League

Entry Cost (-11.72)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x KHM Booster (3.24)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.67)

3x KHM Booster (0.89)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x KHM Booster (3.18) 19.08 +10.03
2 - 1   2x KHM Booster (3.18) 6.36 -2.69
1 - 2       -9.05
0 - 3       -9.05

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.34)

6x KHM Booster (0.89)

Prize EV ()

4 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 92.00 +67.34
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 46.00 +21.34
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 2   150x Play Point (0.10) 23.00 -1.66
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 3       -24.66
0 - 4       -24.66

ZNR Draft Queue

Entry Cost (-7.49)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ZNR Booster (1.83)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.75)

3x ZNR Booster (1.25)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ZNR Booster (1.74) 10.44 +6.70
2 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (1.74) 3.48 -0.26
1 - 2       -3.74
0 - 3       -3.74

Draft MH1 League

Entry Cost (-23.89)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x MH1 Booster (6.63)
or
25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+11.52)

3x MH1 Booster (3.84)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x MH1 Booster (5.91) 35.46 +23.09
2 - 1   2x MH1 Booster (5.91) 11.82 -0.55
1 - 2       -12.37
0 - 3       -12.37

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 40.85 +30.85
    11x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 23.75 +13.75
    5x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.35 +2.35
    1x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

4 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 103.7 +73.75
    5x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.05 +23.05
    3x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 2   150x Play Point (0.10) 25.35 -4.65
    1x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 3       -30.00
0 - 4       -30.00

Challenge 32 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 456.9 +426.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x KHM Set (129.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 268.2 +238.2
    75x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 178.5 +148.5
    50x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 111.7 +81.75
    25x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.50 +23.50
    10x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 41.75 +11.75
    5x Treasure Chest (2.35)    

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 456.9 +426.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x KHM Set (129.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 268.2 +238.2
    75x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 178.5 +148.5
    50x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 111.7 +81.75
    25x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.50 +23.50
    10x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 41.75 +11.75
    5x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 456.9 +426.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x KHM Set (129.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 268.2 +238.2
    75x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 178.5 +148.5
    50x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 111.7 +81.75
    25x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.50 +23.50
    10x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 41.75 +11.75
    5x Treasure Chest (2.35)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00
65 - 128       -30.00