Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all Magic Online formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.53)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of January 15th 2020. Play points are calculated as 0.10 each so you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
70%   0.50 to 2.00
23%   2.00 to 5.00
6%   5.00 to 16.00
1%   More than 16.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   3.10
Modern R/M   0.31
Avatar   0.00
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.52
#2   0.51
#3   0.50
#4   0.00

Phantom

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.30 +7.30
    1x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

Draft THB Competitive

Entry Cost (-14.96)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x THB Booster (3.32)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.09)

3x THB Booster (2.03)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x THB Booster (3.26) 34.56 +25.69
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   3x THB Booster (3.26) 24.78 +15.91
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
1 - 1       -8.87
0 - 1       -8.87

Draft THB League

Entry Cost (-11.96)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x THB Booster (3.32)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.09)

3x THB Booster (2.03)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x THB Booster (3.26) 19.56 +13.69
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   2x THB Booster (3.26) 6.52 +0.65
1 - 2       -5.87
0 - 3       -5.87

Sealed THB Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-23.92)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x THB Booster (3.32)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+12.18)

6x THB Booster (2.03)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x THB Booster (3.26) 41.78 +30.04
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x THB Booster (3.26) 37.52 +25.78
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x THB Booster (3.26) 33.26 +21.52
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +17.26
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +6.26
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 +0.26
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -5.74
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -6.74
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -7.74
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -8.74

Sealed THB Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-30.56)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x THB Booster (3.32)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+16.24)

8x THB Booster (2.03)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x THB Booster (3.26) 41.78 +27.46
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x THB Booster (3.26) 37.52 +23.20
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x THB Booster (3.26) 33.26 +18.94
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +14.68
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +3.68
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -2.32
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -8.32
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -9.32
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -10.32
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -11.32

Sealed THB Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-27.24)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x THB Booster (3.32)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+14.21)

7x THB Booster (2.03)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x THB Booster (3.26) 41.78 +28.75
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x THB Booster (3.26) 37.52 +24.49
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x THB Booster (3.26) 33.26 +20.23
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +15.97
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +4.97
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -1.03
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -7.03
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -8.03
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -9.03
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -10.03

Sealed THB Competitive

Entry Cost (-23.92)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x THB Booster (3.32)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+12.18)

6x THB Booster (2.03)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x THB Booster (3.26) 55.56 +43.82
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   3x THB Booster (3.26) 33.78 +22.04
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   1x THB Booster (3.26) 15.26 +3.52
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
2 - 3       -11.74
1 - 4       -11.74
0 - 5       -11.74

Draft ELD Queue

Entry Cost (-8.06)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ELD Booster (2.02)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.51)

3x ELD Booster (1.17)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ELD Booster (1.96) 11.76 +7.21
2 - 1   2x ELD Booster (1.96) 3.92 -0.63
1 - 2       -4.55
0 - 3       -4.55

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+12.18)

6x THB Booster (2.03)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 60.00 +42.18
    40x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   450x Play Point (0.10) 45.00 +27.18
    40x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   300x Play Point (0.10) 30.00 +12.18
2 - 3       -17.82
1 - 4       -17.82
0 - 5       -17.82

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 40.30 +30.30
    11x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 23.50 +13.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.30 +2.30
    1x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 87.60 +57.60
    12x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   450x Play Point (0.10) 58.80 +28.80
    6x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   300x Play Point (0.10) 36.90 +6.90
    3x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
2 - 3       -30.00
1 - 4       -30.00
0 - 5       -30.00

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

6 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 479.9 +454.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x THB Set (199.99)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 222.5 +197.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 155.0 +130.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 97.50 +72.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.00 +28.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
1 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
0 - 1       -25.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

7 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 479.9 +454.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    1x THB Set (199.99)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
6 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 222.5 +197.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 155.0 +130.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 97.50 +72.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.00 +28.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
2 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
1 - 1       -25.00
0 - 1       -25.00