Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all Magic Online formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.41)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of Nov 18th 2020. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.39 which is 58% of the total chest value. Therefore you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
73%   0.50 to 2.00
19%   2.00 to 5.00
7%   5.00 to 19.00
1%   More than 19.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   2.74
Modern R/M   0.29
Avatar   0.00
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.50
#2   0.41
#3   0.50
#4   0.00
Top 25 Cards Set Chance Value Added EV
Force of Negation MH1 1 in 1,3k 71 0.06
Wrenn and Six MH1 1 in 1,5k 65 0.04
Hullbreacher PRM 1 in 1,9k 64 0.03
Seasoned Pyromancer MH1 1 in 1,5k 40 0.03
Karn, the Great Creator WAR 1 in 1,9k 43 0.02
Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath THB 1 in 2,5k 55 0.02
Allosaurus Shepherd JMP 1 in 1,9k 38 0.02
Teferi, Time Raveler WAR 1 in 1,9k 35 0.02
Foil ZNR Redeemable Set ZNR 1 in 7,6k 138 0.02
Opposition Agent PRM 1 in 1,9k 21 0.01
Force of Will PRM 1 in 3,8k 42 0.01
Field of the Dead M20 1 in 1,9k 21 0.01
Force of Vigor MH1 1 in 1,9k 19 0.01
Auriok Champion 5DN 1 in 1,9k 18 0.01
M21 Redeemable Set M21 1 in 7,6k 70 0.009
Kroxa, Titan of Death's Hunger THB 1 in 2,5k 22 0.009
Cavern of Souls AVR 1 in 1,9k 16 0.009
Mindbreak Trap ZEN 1 in 2,5k 20 0.008
Jeweled Lotus PRM 1 in 3,8k 29 0.008
Carpet of Flowers UZ 1 in 3,8k 29 0.008
Wasteland EMA 1 in 3,8k 29 0.008
Oko, Thief of Crowns ELD 1 in 2,5k 19 0.007
Wasteland ZNE 1 in 3,8k 27 0.007
Blood Moon PRM 1 in 3,8k 27 0.007
Scalding Tarn ZEN 1 in 1,9k 13 0.007

Phantom Draft League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.30 +7.30
    1x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

ZNR Sealed Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-20.14)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x ZNR Booster (2.69)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.46)

6x ZNR Booster (0.91)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ZNR Booster (2.60) 39.80 +25.12
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (2.60) 36.20 +21.52
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (2.60) 32.60 +17.92
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +14.32
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +3.32
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -2.68
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -8.68
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -9.68
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -10.68
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -11.68

ZNR Sealed Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-22.83)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x ZNR Booster (2.69)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.37)

7x ZNR Booster (0.91)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ZNR Booster (2.60) 39.80 +23.34
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (2.60) 36.20 +19.74
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (2.60) 32.60 +16.14
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +12.54
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +1.54
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -4.46
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -10.46
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -11.46
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -12.46
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -13.46

ZNR Sealed Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-25.52)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x ZNR Booster (2.69)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+7.28)

8x ZNR Booster (0.91)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ZNR Booster (2.60) 39.80 +21.56
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (2.60) 36.20 +17.96
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (2.60) 32.60 +14.36
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +10.76
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -0.24
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -6.24
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -12.24
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -13.24
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -14.24
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -15.24

ZNR Sealed Competitive

Entry Cost (-20.14)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x ZNR Booster (2.69)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.46)

6x ZNR Booster (0.91)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x ZNR Booster (2.60) 55.60 +40.92
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   3x ZNR Booster (2.60) 33.40 +18.72
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (2.60) 15.40 +0.72
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 3       -14.68
1 - 4       -14.68
0 - 5       -14.68

ZNR Draft League

Entry Cost (-10.07)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ZNR Booster (2.69)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.73)

3x ZNR Booster (0.91)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ZNR Booster (2.60) 15.60 +8.26
2 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (2.60) 5.20 -2.14
1 - 2       -7.34
0 - 3       -7.34

ZNR Draft Competitive

Entry Cost (-13.07)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ZNR Booster (2.69)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.73)

3x ZNR Booster (0.91)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ZNR Booster (2.60) 33.00 +22.66
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 1   3x ZNR Booster (2.60) 23.60 +13.26
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 1       -10.34
0 - 1       -10.34

M21 Draft Queue

Entry Cost (-8.81)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M21 Booster (2.27)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.16)

3x M21 Booster (0.72)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M21 Booster (2.03) 12.18 +5.53
2 - 1   2x M21 Booster (2.03) 4.06 -2.59
1 - 2       -6.65
0 - 3       -6.65

CMR Draft League

Entry Cost (-20.00)

20x Event Ticket (1.00)
or
2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x CMR Booster (6.73)

Cards EV (+5.85)

3x CMR Booster (1.95)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x Vote (2.50) 15.00 +0.85
2 - 1   5x Vote (2.50) 12.50 -1.65
1 - 2   4x Vote (2.50) 10.00 -4.15
0 - 3   3x Vote (2.50) 7.50 -6.65

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.46)

6x ZNR Booster (0.91)

Prize EV ()

4 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 92.00 +67.46
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 46.00 +21.46
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 2   150x Play Point (0.10) 23.00 -1.54
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 3       -24.54
0 - 4       -24.54

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 452.9 +422.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x ZNR Set (130.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 264.5 +234.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 176.0 +146.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 110.5 +80.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.00 +23.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 41.50 +11.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00
65 - 128       -30.00

Challenge 32 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 452.9 +422.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x ZNR Set (130.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 264.5 +234.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 176.0 +146.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 110.5 +80.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.00 +23.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 41.50 +11.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.30)    

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 452.9 +422.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x ZNR Set (130.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 264.5 +234.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 176.0 +146.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 110.5 +80.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.00 +23.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 41.50 +11.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 40.30 +30.30
    11x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 23.50 +13.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.30 +2.30
    1x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00

Commander

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x CMR Vote (2.00) 12.00 +2.00
2 - 1   5x CMR Vote (2.00) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   4x CMR Vote (2.00) 8.00 -2.00
0 - 3   3x CMR Vote (2.00) 6.00 -4.00

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

4 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 103.5 +73.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 52.90 +22.90
    3x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 2   150x Play Point (0.10) 25.30 -4.70
    1x Treasure Chest (2.30)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 3       -30.00
0 - 4       -30.00