Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all MTGO formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.26)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of July 6th 2018 including the Nexus of Fate update. Play points are calculated as 0.10 each so you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
54%   Less than 0.50
24%   0.50 to 2.00
13%   2.00 to 5.00
8%   5.00 to 21.00
1%   More than 29.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   4.16
Modern R/M   0.38
Play Points   2.48
Battlebond   0.038
Standard C/U   0.0027
Slot   EV
#1   1.84
#2   0.33
#3   0.089

Sealed Friendly +0 League

Entry Cost (-23.32)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x M19 Booster (3.22)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.18)

6x M19 Booster (0.53)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M19 Booster (3.16) 41.48 +21.34
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M19 Booster (3.16) 37.32 +17.18
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M19 Booster (3.16) 33.16 +13.02
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +8.86
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -2.14
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -8.14
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -14.14
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -15.14
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -16.14
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -17.14

Sealed Friendly +1 League

Entry Cost (-26.54)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x M19 Booster (3.22)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.71)

7x M19 Booster (0.53)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M19 Booster (3.16) 41.48 +18.65
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M19 Booster (3.16) 37.32 +14.49
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M19 Booster (3.16) 33.16 +10.33
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +6.17
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -4.83
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -10.83
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -16.83
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -17.83
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -18.83
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -19.83

Sealed Friendly +2 League

Entry Cost (-29.76)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x M19 Booster (3.22)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+4.24)

8x M19 Booster (0.53)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M19 Booster (3.16) 41.48 +15.96
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M19 Booster (3.16) 37.32 +11.80
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M19 Booster (3.16) 33.16 +7.64
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +3.48
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -7.52
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -13.52
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -19.52
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -20.52
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -21.52
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -22.52

Sealed Competitive League

Entry Cost (-23.32)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x M19 Booster (3.22)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.18)

6x M19 Booster (0.53)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x M19 Booster (3.16) 54.96 +34.82
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   3x M19 Booster (3.16) 33.48 +13.34
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   1x M19 Booster (3.16) 15.16 -4.98
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
2 - 3       -20.14
1 - 4       -20.14
0 - 5       -20.14

Draft Competitive League

Entry Cost (-14.66)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M19 Booster (3.22)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+1.59)

3x M19 Booster (0.53)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M19 Booster (3.16) 33.96 +20.89
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   3x M19 Booster (3.16) 24.48 +11.41
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
1 - 1       -13.07
0 - 1       -13.07

Draft Friendly League

Entry Cost (-11.66)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M19 Booster (3.22)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+1.59)

3x M19 Booster (0.53)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   3x M19 Booster (3.16) 9.48 -0.59
2 - 1   2x M19 Booster (3.16) 6.32 -3.75
1 - 2   1x M19 Booster (3.16) 3.16 -6.91
0 - 3       -10.07

Draft Intermediate League

Entry Cost (-11.66)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M19 Booster (3.22)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+1.59)

3x M19 Booster (0.53)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M19 Booster (3.16) 18.96 +8.89
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   2x M19 Booster (3.16) 6.32 -3.75
1 - 2       -10.07
0 - 3       -10.07

Draft DAR Queue

Entry Cost (-10.70)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x DAR Booster (2.90)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.61)

3x DAR Booster (0.87)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x DAR Booster (2.84) 17.04 +8.95
2 - 1   2x DAR Booster (2.84) 5.68 -2.41
1 - 2       -8.09
0 - 3       -8.09

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

Competitive League

Entry Cost (-12.00)

12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   16x Treasure Chest (2.28) 54.48 +42.48
    180x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   8x Treasure Chest (2.28) 36.24 +24.24
    180x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   1x Treasure Chest (2.28) 14.28 +2.28
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
2 - 3       -12.00
1 - 4       -12.00
0 - 5       -12.00

Friendly League

Entry Cost (-8.00)

8x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   80x Play Point (0.10) 26.24 +18.24
    8x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
4 - 1   80x Play Point (0.10) 17.12 +9.12
    4x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
3 - 2   80x Play Point (0.10) 10.28 +2.28
    1x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
2 - 3   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -4.00
1 - 4   20x Play Point (0.10) 2.00 -6.00
0 - 5   10x Play Point (0.10) 1.00 -7.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

7 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 340.9 +315.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    1x M19 Set (62.99)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
6 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 221.0 +196.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 154.0 +129.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 97.00 +72.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 52.80 +27.80
    10x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
2 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
1 - 1       -25.00
0 - 1       -25.00

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

6 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 340.9 +315.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    1x M19 Set (62.99)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 221.0 +196.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 154.0 +129.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 97.00 +72.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 52.80 +27.80
    10x Treasure Chest (2.28)    
1 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
0 - 1       -25.00