Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all MTGO formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.45)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of July 2nd 2019. Play points are calculated as 0.10 each so you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
72%   0.50 to 2.00
21%   2.00 to 5.00
6%   5.00 to 20.00
1%   More than 20.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   3.42
Modern R/M   0.25
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.55
#2   0.40
#3   0.50

Sealed M20 Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-20.44)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x M20 Booster (2.74)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.96)

6x M20 Booster (1.16)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M20 Booster (2.68) 40.04 +26.56
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M20 Booster (2.68) 36.36 +22.88
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M20 Booster (2.68) 32.68 +19.20
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +15.52
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +4.52
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -1.48
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -7.48
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -8.48
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -9.48
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -10.48

Sealed M20 Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-23.18)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x M20 Booster (2.74)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+8.12)

7x M20 Booster (1.16)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M20 Booster (2.68) 40.04 +24.98
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M20 Booster (2.68) 36.36 +21.30
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M20 Booster (2.68) 32.68 +17.62
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +13.94
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +2.94
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -3.06
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -9.06
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -10.06
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -11.06
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -12.06

Sealed M20 Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-25.92)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x M20 Booster (2.74)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+9.28)

8x M20 Booster (1.16)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M20 Booster (2.68) 40.04 +23.40
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M20 Booster (2.68) 36.36 +19.72
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M20 Booster (2.68) 32.68 +16.04
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +12.36
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +1.36
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -4.64
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -10.64
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -11.64
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -12.64
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -13.64

Sealed M20 Competitive

Entry Cost (-20.44)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x M20 Booster (2.74)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.96)

6x M20 Booster (1.16)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x M20 Booster (2.68) 52.08 +38.60
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   3x M20 Booster (2.68) 32.04 +18.56
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   1x M20 Booster (2.68) 14.68 +1.20
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
2 - 3       -13.48
1 - 4       -13.48
0 - 5       -13.48

Draft M20 League

Entry Cost (-10.22)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M20 Booster (2.74)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.48)

3x M20 Booster (1.16)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M20 Booster (2.68) 16.08 +9.34
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   2x M20 Booster (2.68) 5.36 -1.38
1 - 2       -6.74
0 - 3       -6.74

Draft M20 Competitive

Entry Cost (-13.22)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M20 Booster (2.74)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.48)

3x M20 Booster (1.16)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M20 Booster (2.68) 31.08 +21.34
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   3x M20 Booster (2.68) 23.04 +13.30
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
1 - 1       -9.74
0 - 1       -9.74

Draft MH1 Phantom

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.38 +7.38
    1x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

Sealed MH1

Entry Cost (-45.00)

3x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x MH1 Booster (7.00)
or
45x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+17.64)

6x MH1 Booster (2.94)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x MH1 Booster (6.85) 113.6 +86.24
    675x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    2x MH1 Token (2.50)    
4 - 1   3x MH1 Booster (6.85) 70.55 +43.19
    450x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    2x MH1 Token (2.50)    
3 - 2   1x MH1 Booster (6.85) 34.35 +6.99
    225x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x MH1 Token (2.50)    
2 - 3   2x MH1 Token (2.50) 5.00 -22.36
1 - 4   2x MH1 Token (2.50) 5.00 -22.36
0 - 5   2x MH1 Token (2.50) 5.00 -22.36

Draft WAR

Entry Cost (-10.58)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x WAR Booster (2.86)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.88)

3x WAR Booster (1.96)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x WAR Booster (2.77) 16.62 +11.92
2 - 1   2x WAR Booster (2.77) 5.54 +0.84
1 - 2       -4.70
0 - 3       -4.70

Draft MH1

Entry Cost (-25.00)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x MH1 Booster (7.00)
or
25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+8.82)

3x MH1 Booster (2.94)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x MH1 Booster (6.85) 43.60 +27.42
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    1x MH1 Token (2.50)    
2 - 1   2x MH1 Booster (6.85) 16.20 +0.02
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    1x MH1 Token (2.50)    
1 - 2   1x MH1 Token (2.50) 2.50 -13.68
0 - 3   1x MH1 Token (2.50) 2.50 -13.68

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 41.18 +31.18
    11x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    5x Format Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 23.90 +13.90
    5x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
    2x Format Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.38 +2.38
    1x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    1x Format Point (0.00)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

7 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 401.4 +376.4
    100x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    1x M20 Set (113.49)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
6 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 228.5 +203.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 159.0 +134.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 99.50 +74.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.80 +28.80
    10x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
2 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
1 - 1       -25.00
0 - 1       -25.00

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

6 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 401.4 +376.4
    100x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    1x M20 Set (113.49)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 228.5 +203.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 159.0 +134.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 99.50 +74.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.80 +28.80
    10x Treasure Chest (2.38)    
1 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
0 - 1       -25.00