Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all MTGO formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.57)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article. Play points are calculated as 0.10 each so you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
43%   Less than 0.50
25%   0.50 to 2.00
22%   2.00 to 5.00
9%   5.00 to 28.50
1%   More than 28.50
Type   EV
Curated Card   4.99
Modern R/M   0.51
Play Points   2.48
Standard C/U   0.011
Slot   EV
#1   2.09
#2   0.38
#3   0.10

Draft HOU/AKH Queue

Entry Cost (-10.26)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
2x HOU Booster (3.53)
1x AKH Booster (1.20)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.67)

2x HOU Booster (1.06)
1x AKH Booster (0.55)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   4x HOU Booster (3.44) 16.08 +8.49
    2x AKH Booster (1.16)    
2 - 1   1x HOU Booster (3.44) 4.60 -2.99
    1x AKH Booster (1.16)    
1 - 2       -7.59
0 - 3       -7.59

Sealed Friendly +0 League

Entry Cost (-22.24)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
4x RIX Booster (2.62)
2x XLN Booster (3.88)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.84)

4x RIX Booster (0.65)
2x XLN Booster (0.62)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   2x RIX Booster (2.56) 40.94 +22.54
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 37.38 +18.98
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 32.56 +14.16
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +10.60
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -0.40
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -6.40
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -12.40
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -13.40
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -14.40
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -15.40

Sealed Friendly +1 League

Entry Cost (-24.86)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
5x RIX Booster (2.62)
2x XLN Booster (3.88)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+4.49)

5x RIX Booster (0.65)
2x XLN Booster (0.62)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   2x RIX Booster (2.56) 40.94 +20.57
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 37.38 +17.01
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 32.56 +12.19
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +8.63
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -2.37
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -8.37
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -14.37
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -15.37
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -16.37
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -17.37

Sealed Friendly +2 League

Entry Cost (-28.74)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
5x RIX Booster (2.62)
3x XLN Booster (3.88)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.11)

5x RIX Booster (0.65)
3x XLN Booster (0.62)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   2x RIX Booster (2.56) 40.94 +17.31
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 37.38 +13.75
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 32.56 +8.93
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +5.37
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -5.63
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -11.63
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -17.63
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -18.63
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -19.63
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -20.63

Draft Friendly League

Entry Cost (-11.12)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
2x RIX Booster (2.62)
1x XLN Booster (3.88)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+1.92)

2x RIX Booster (0.65)
1x XLN Booster (0.62)

Prize EV ()

7 - 0   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 +2.80
7 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 +2.80
7 - 2   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 +2.80
7 - 3   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 +2.80
6 - 4   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 +0.80
5 - 4   80x Play Point (0.10) 8.00 -1.20
4 - 4   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -5.20
3 - 4   20x Play Point (0.10) 2.00 -7.20
2 - 4   10x Play Point (0.10) 1.00 -8.20
1 - 4       -9.20
0 - 4       -9.20

Draft Competitive League

Entry Cost (-14.12)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
2x RIX Booster (2.62)
1x XLN Booster (3.88)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+1.92)

2x RIX Booster (0.65)
1x XLN Booster (0.62)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   4x RIX Booster (2.56) 32.88 +20.68
    2x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   2x RIX Booster (2.56) 23.94 +11.74
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
1 - 1       -12.20
0 - 1       -12.20

Draft Intermediate League

Entry Cost (-11.12)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
2x RIX Booster (2.62)
1x XLN Booster (3.88)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+1.92)

2x RIX Booster (0.65)
1x XLN Booster (0.62)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   5x RIX Booster (2.56) 16.62 +7.42
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 6.38 -2.82
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
1 - 2       -9.20
0 - 3       -9.20

Sealed Competitive League

Entry Cost (-22.24)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
4x RIX Booster (2.62)
2x XLN Booster (3.88)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.84)

4x RIX Booster (0.65)
2x XLN Booster (0.62)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   4x RIX Booster (2.56) 53.88 +35.48
    2x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   2x RIX Booster (2.56) 32.94 +14.54
    1x XLN Booster (3.82)    
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   1x RIX Booster (2.56) 14.56 -3.84
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
2 - 3       -18.40
1 - 4       -18.40
0 - 5       -18.40

Draft Theros League

Entry Cost (-5.02)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
2x THS Booster (1.51)
or
10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 +9.98
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 +4.98
1 - 2   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -1.02
0 - 3   10x Play Point (0.10) 1.00 -4.02

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

Competitive League

Entry Cost (-12.00)

12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   16x Treasure Chest (2.53) 58.48 +46.48
    180x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   8x Treasure Chest (2.53) 38.24 +26.24
    180x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 2   1x Treasure Chest (2.53) 14.53 +2.53
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
2 - 3       -12.00
1 - 4       -12.00
0 - 5       -12.00

Friendly League

Entry Cost (-8.00)

8x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   80x Play Point (0.10) 28.24 +20.24
    8x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
4 - 1   80x Play Point (0.10) 18.12 +10.12
    4x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
3 - 2   80x Play Point (0.10) 10.53 +2.53
    1x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
2 - 3   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -4.00
1 - 4   20x Play Point (0.10) 2.00 -6.00
0 - 5   10x Play Point (0.10) 1.00 -7.00

Format Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

6 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 359.4 +334.4
    100x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    1x XLN Set (56.49)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 239.7 +214.7
    75x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 166.5 +141.5
    50x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 103.2 +78.25
    25x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
2 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 55.30 +30.30
    10x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
1 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
0 - 1       -25.00

Format Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-25.00)

25x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

7 - 0   500x Play Point (0.10) 359.4 +334.4
    100x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    1x XLN Set (56.49)    
    6x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
6 - 1   500x Play Point (0.10) 239.7 +214.7
    75x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
5 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 166.5 +141.5
    50x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
4 - 1   400x Play Point (0.10) 103.2 +78.25
    25x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.00)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 55.30 +30.30
    10x Treasure Chest (2.53)    
2 - 1   250x Play Point (0.10) 25.00 0.00
1 - 1       -25.00
0 - 1       -25.00