Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all Magic Online formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.49)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of April 12th 2021. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.25 which is 50% of the total chest value. Therefore you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
67%   0.50 to 2.00
25%   2.00 to 5.00
7%   5.00 to 27.00
1%   More than 27.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   4.34
Modern R/M   0.29
Avatar   0.00
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.70
#2   0.29
#3   0.50
#4   0.00
Top 25 Cards Set Chance Value Added EV
Force of Negation MH1 1 in 1,8k 79 0.04
Foil Strixhaven: School of Mages Redeemable Set STX 1 in 4,7k 166 0.04
Kaldheim Redeemable Set KHM 1 in 4,7k 152 0.03
Wasteland TE 1 in 1,9k 54 0.03
Teferi, Time Raveler WAR 1 in 1,2k 33 0.03
Karn, the Great Creator WAR 1 in 1,2k 32 0.03
Wrenn and Six MH1 1 in 2,5k 62 0.02
Zendikar Rising Full Set ZNR 1 in 4,7k 107 0.02
Hullbreacher PRM 1 in 1,9k 40 0.02
Carpet of Flowers UZ 1 in 1,9k 32 0.02
Ethereal Forager C20 1 in 3,9k 59 0.02
Auriok Champion 5DN 1 in 1,2k 18 0.01
Scourge of the Skyclaves PRM 1 in 1,9k 27 0.01
Strixhaven: School of Mages Booster STX 1 in 230 3 0.01
Cavern of Souls AVR 1 in 1,2k 17 0.01
Seasoned Pyromancer MH1 1 in 2,5k 30 0.01
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow PZ2 1 in 3,9k 47 0.01
Commander Legends Booster CMR 1 in 470 5 0.01
Skyclave Apparition PRM 1 in 1,9k 22 0.01
Surgical Extraction NPH 1 in 1,2k 14 0.01
City of Traitors EX 1 in 3,9k 39 0.01
Opposition Agent PRM 1 in 1,9k 19 0.01
Archmage's Charm MH1 1 in 1,8k 18 0.01
Brazen Borrower PRM 1 in 1,9k 18 0.01
Prismari Command PRM 1 in 970 9 0.009

Phantom League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.44 +7.44
    1x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

STX Sealed Competitive

Entry Cost (-23.44)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x STX Booster (3.24)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.82)

6x STX Booster (0.97)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x STX Booster (3.18) 59.08 +41.46
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   3x STX Booster (3.18) 35.14 +17.52
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   1x STX Booster (3.18) 15.98 -1.64
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 3       -17.62
1 - 4       -17.62
0 - 5       -17.62

STX Draft Competitive

Entry Cost (-14.72)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x STX Booster (3.24)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.91)

3x STX Booster (0.97)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x STX Booster (3.18) 36.48 +24.67
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 1   3x STX Booster (3.18) 25.34 +13.53
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 1       -11.81
0 - 1       -11.81

STX Draft League

Entry Cost (-11.72)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x STX Booster (3.24)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.91)

3x STX Booster (0.97)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x STX Booster (3.18) 19.08 +10.27
2 - 1   2x STX Booster (3.18) 6.36 -2.45
1 - 2       -8.81
0 - 3       -8.81

STX Sealed Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-23.44)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x STX Booster (3.24)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.82)

6x STX Booster (0.97)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x STX Booster (3.18) 41.54 +23.92
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x STX Booster (3.18) 37.36 +19.74
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x STX Booster (3.18) 33.18 +15.56
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +11.38
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +0.38
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -5.62
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -11.62
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -12.62
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -13.62
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -14.62

STX Sealed Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-26.68)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x STX Booster (3.24)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.79)

7x STX Booster (0.97)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x STX Booster (3.18) 41.54 +21.65
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x STX Booster (3.18) 37.36 +17.47
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x STX Booster (3.18) 33.18 +13.29
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +9.11
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -1.89
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -7.89
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -13.89
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -14.89
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -15.89
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -16.89

STX Sealed Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-29.92)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x STX Booster (3.24)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+7.76)

8x STX Booster (0.97)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x STX Booster (3.18) 41.54 +19.38
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x STX Booster (3.18) 37.36 +15.20
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x STX Booster (3.18) 33.18 +11.02
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +6.84
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -4.16
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -10.16
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -16.16
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -17.16
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -18.16
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -19.16

KHM Draft Queue

Entry Cost (-8.48)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x KHM Booster (2.16)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.27)

3x KHM Booster (1.09)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x KHM Booster (2.04) 12.24 +7.03
2 - 1   2x KHM Booster (2.04) 4.08 -1.13
1 - 2       -5.21
0 - 3       -5.21

Sealed Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+5.82)

6x STX Booster (0.97)

Prize EV ()

4 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 92.00 +67.82
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 46.00 +21.82
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 2   150x Play Point (0.10) 23.00 -1.18
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 3       -24.18
0 - 4       -24.18

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 41.84 +31.84
    11x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 24.20 +14.20
    5x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.44 +2.44
    1x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

4 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 104.2 +74.20
    5x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 1   300x Play Point (0.10) 53.32 +23.32
    3x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 2   150x Play Point (0.10) 25.44 -4.56
    1x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 3       -30.00
0 - 4       -30.00

Challenge 32 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 336.0 +306.0
    100x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x KHM Set (0.00)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 275.0 +245.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 183.0 +153.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 114.0 +84.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 54.40 +24.40
    10x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 42.20 +12.20
    5x Treasure Chest (2.44)    

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 336.0 +306.0
    100x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x KHM Set (0.00)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 275.0 +245.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 183.0 +153.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 114.0 +84.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 54.40 +24.40
    10x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 42.20 +12.20
    5x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 336.0 +306.0
    100x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x KHM Set (0.00)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 275.0 +245.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 183.0 +153.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 114.0 +84.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 54.40 +24.40
    10x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 42.20 +12.20
    5x Treasure Chest (2.44)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00
65 - 128       -30.00