Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all Magic Online formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.57)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of Sep 14th 2020. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.39 which is 54% of the total chest value. Therefore you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
73%   0.50 to 2.00
19%   2.00 to 5.00
7%   5.00 to 19.00
1%   More than 19.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   3.24
Modern R/M   0.31
Avatar   0.00
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.60
#2   0.46
#3   0.50
#4   0.00
Top 25 Cards Set Chance Value Added EV
Force of Negation MH1 1 in 1,1k 75 0.07
Wrenn and Six MH1 1 in 1,3k 58 0.04
Seasoned Pyromancer MH1 1 in 1,3k 51 0.04
Allosaurus Shepherd JMP 1 in 1,6k 41 0.03
Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath THB 1 in 2,3k 54 0.02
M21 Redeemable Set M21 1 in 6,5k 114 0.02
Karn, the Great Creator WAR 1 in 1,7k 29 0.02
Teferi, Time Raveler WAR 1 in 1,7k 26 0.02
Field of the Dead M20 1 in 1,7k 23 0.01
Cavern of Souls AVR 1 in 1,7k 19 0.01
IKO Redeemable Set IKO 1 in 6,5k 69 0.01
Omnath, Locus of Creation PRM 1 in 6,5k 67 0.01
Carpet of Flowers UZ 1 in 3,2k 33 0.01
Brazen Borrower ELD 1 in 2,3k 23 0.01
Sunbaked Canyon MH1 1 in 1,7k 16 0.009
Force of Will PRM 1 in 3,2k 30 0.009
Dreadhorde Arcanist WAR 1 in 1,7k 15 0.009
Foil M21 Redeemable Set M21 1 in 19k 169 0.009
Omnath, Locus of Creation ZNR 1 in 7,6k 62 0.008
Surgical Extraction NPH 1 in 1,7k 14 0.008
Verdant Catacombs ZEN 1 in 1,7k 14 0.008
Tarmogoyf UMA 1 in 3,2k 25 0.008
Misty Rainforest ZEN 1 in 1,7k 14 0.008
Cavern of Souls ZNE 1 in 3,2k 25 0.008
Turntimber Symbiosis PRM 1 in 3,2k 23 0.007

Phantom Draft League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.50 +7.50
    1x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

ZNR Sealed Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-24.00)

24x Event Ticket (1.00)
or
4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x ZNR Booster (3.34)

Cards EV (+10.32)

6x ZNR Booster (1.72)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ZNR Booster (3.28) 41.84 +28.16
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (3.28) 37.56 +23.88
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (3.28) 33.28 +19.60
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +15.32
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +4.32
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -1.68
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -7.68
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -8.68
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -9.68
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -10.68

ZNR Sealed Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-27.38)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x ZNR Booster (3.34)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+12.04)

7x ZNR Booster (1.72)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ZNR Booster (3.28) 41.84 +26.50
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (3.28) 37.56 +22.22
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (3.28) 33.28 +17.94
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +13.66
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +2.66
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -3.34
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -9.34
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -10.34
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -11.34
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -12.34

ZNR Sealed Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-30.72)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x ZNR Booster (3.34)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+13.76)

8x ZNR Booster (1.72)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x ZNR Booster (3.28) 41.84 +24.88
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (3.28) 37.56 +20.60
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (3.28) 33.28 +16.32
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +12.04
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +1.04
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -4.96
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -10.96
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -11.96
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -12.96
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -13.96

ZNR Sealed Competitive

Entry Cost (-24.00)

24x Event Ticket (1.00)
or
4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x ZNR Booster (3.34)

Cards EV (+10.32)

6x ZNR Booster (1.72)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x ZNR Booster (3.28) 59.68 +46.00
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   3x ZNR Booster (3.28) 35.44 +21.76
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   1x ZNR Booster (3.28) 16.08 +2.40
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 3       -13.68
1 - 4       -13.68
0 - 5       -13.68

ZNR Draft League

Entry Cost (-12.00)

12x Event Ticket (1.00)
or
2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ZNR Booster (3.34)

Cards EV (+5.16)

3x ZNR Booster (1.72)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ZNR Booster (3.28) 19.68 +12.84
2 - 1   2x ZNR Booster (3.28) 6.56 -0.28
1 - 2       -6.84
0 - 3       -6.84

ZNR Draft Competitive

Entry Cost (-15.00)

15x Event Ticket (1.00)
or
5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x ZNR Booster (3.34)

Cards EV (+5.16)

3x ZNR Booster (1.72)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x ZNR Booster (3.28) 37.08 +27.24
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 1   3x ZNR Booster (3.28) 25.64 +15.80
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 1       -9.84
0 - 1       -9.84

M21 Draft Queue

Entry Cost (-8.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M21 Booster (2.00)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.24)

3x M21 Booster (1.08)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M21 Booster (1.91) 11.46 +6.70
2 - 1   2x M21 Booster (1.91) 3.82 -0.94
1 - 2       -4.76
0 - 3       -4.76

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 122.0 +92.00
    12x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   450x Play Point (0.10) 92.00 +62.00
    6x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   300x Play Point (0.10) 37.50 +7.50
    3x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
2 - 3       -30.00
1 - 4       -30.00
0 - 5       -30.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 566.9 +536.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x ZNR Set (224.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 279.5 +249.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 186.0 +156.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 115.5 +85.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 55.00 +25.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 42.50 +12.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00
65 - 128       -30.00

Challenge 32 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 566.9 +536.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x ZNR Set (224.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 279.5 +249.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 186.0 +156.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 115.5 +85.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 55.00 +25.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 42.50 +12.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.50)    

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 566.9 +536.9
    100x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x ZNR Set (224.99)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 279.5 +249.5
    75x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 186.0 +156.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 115.5 +85.50
    25x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 55.00 +25.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 42.50 +12.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 42.50 +32.50
    11x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 24.50 +14.50
    5x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.50 +2.50
    1x Treasure Chest (2.50)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00