Expected Value Calculator

The expected value of all Magic Online formats is calculated based on the current booster prices, card prices and your win percentage. Click on a format to view the calculations and the expected value per result. Updated every 5 minutes.

Win Percentage

Win %
Limited Constructed

Limited

Constructed

Treasure Chest EV (2.56)

The expected value of treasure chests is calculated using our card buy prices and this article, using treasure chest contents as of Jun 22nd 2020. Play points are assumed to be worth 0.10 each. The expected value of play points per chest is 1.39 which is 54% of the total chest value. Therefore you should only open treasure chests if you plan to use play points. The value distribution is shown below.
Chance   Chest Value
0%   Less than 0.50
70%   0.50 to 2.00
23%   2.00 to 5.00
6%   5.00 to 16.00
1%   More than 16.00
Type   EV
Curated Card   3.34
Modern R/M   0.27
Avatar   0.00
Play Points   2.48
5 Play Points   0.50
Slot   EV
#1   1.61
#2   0.45
#3   0.50
#4   0.00

Cube Draft League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 17.60 +7.60
    1x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
2 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
1 - 2   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
0 - 3       -10.00

Cube Draft Elimination

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   240x Play Point (0.10) 26.60 +16.60
    1x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
2 - 1   160x Play Point (0.10) 16.00 +6.00
1 - 1   100x Play Point (0.10) 10.00 0.00
0 - 1       -10.00

IKO Draft Queue

Entry Cost (-8.96)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x IKO Booster (2.32)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+2.82)

3x IKO Booster (0.94)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x IKO Booster (2.26) 13.56 +7.42
2 - 1   2x IKO Booster (2.26) 4.52 -1.62
1 - 2       -6.14
0 - 3       -6.14

M21 Draft Competitive

Entry Cost (-14.84)

5x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M21 Booster (3.28)
or
15x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.00)

3x M21 Booster (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M21 Booster (3.22) 36.72 +24.88
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    3x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 1   3x M21 Booster (3.22) 25.46 +13.62
    150x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
1 - 1       -11.84
0 - 1       -11.84

M21 Draft League

Entry Cost (-11.84)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)
3x M21 Booster (3.28)
or
12x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+3.00)

3x M21 Booster (1.00)

Prize EV ()

3 - 0   6x M21 Booster (3.22) 19.32 +10.48
2 - 1   2x M21 Booster (3.22) 6.44 -2.40
1 - 2       -8.84
0 - 3       -8.84

M21 Sealed Competitive

Entry Cost (-23.68)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x M21 Booster (3.28)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.00)

6x M21 Booster (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   6x M21 Booster (3.22) 59.32 +41.64
    360x Play Point (0.10)    
    5x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   3x M21 Booster (3.22) 35.26 +17.58
    240x Play Point (0.10)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   1x M21 Booster (3.22) 16.02 -1.66
    120x Play Point (0.10)    
    1x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
2 - 3       -17.68
1 - 4       -17.68
0 - 5       -17.68

M21 Sealed Friendly +0

Entry Cost (-23.68)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
6x M21 Booster (3.28)
or
24x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+6.00)

6x M21 Booster (1.00)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M21 Booster (3.22) 41.66 +23.98
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M21 Booster (3.22) 37.44 +19.76
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M21 Booster (3.22) 33.22 +15.54
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +11.32
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 +0.32
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -5.68
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -11.68
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -12.68
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -13.68
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -14.68

M21 Sealed Friendly +1

Entry Cost (-26.96)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
7x M21 Booster (3.28)
or
28x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+7.00)

7x M21 Booster (1.00)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M21 Booster (3.22) 41.66 +21.70
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M21 Booster (3.22) 37.44 +17.48
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M21 Booster (3.22) 33.22 +13.26
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +9.04
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -1.96
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -7.96
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -13.96
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -14.96
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -15.96
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -16.96

M21 Sealed Friendly +2

Entry Cost (-30.24)

4x Event Ticket (1.00)
8x M21 Booster (3.28)
or
32x Event Ticket (1.00)

Cards EV (+8.00)

8x M21 Booster (1.00)

Prize EV ()

9 - 0   3x M21 Booster (3.22) 41.66 +19.42
    320x Play Point (0.10)    
8 - 1   2x M21 Booster (3.22) 37.44 +15.20
    310x Play Point (0.10)    
7 - 2   1x M21 Booster (3.22) 33.22 +10.98
    300x Play Point (0.10)    
6 - 3   290x Play Point (0.10) 29.00 +6.76
5 - 4   180x Play Point (0.10) 18.00 -4.24
4 - 5   120x Play Point (0.10) 12.00 -10.24
3 - 6   60x Play Point (0.10) 6.00 -16.24
2 - 7   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -17.24
1 - 8   40x Play Point (0.10) 4.00 -18.24
0 - 9   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 -19.24

Two Player Queue

Entry Cost (-2.00)

2x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1 - 0   30x Play Point (0.10) 3.00 +1.00
0 - 1   5x Play Point (0.10) 0.50 -1.50

League

Entry Cost (-10.00)

10x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   150x Play Point (0.10) 46.80 +36.80
    11x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    4x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   120x Play Point (0.10) 26.60 +16.60
    5x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    2x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   100x Play Point (0.10) 12.60 +2.60
    1x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
2 - 3   50x Play Point (0.10) 5.00 -5.00
1 - 4       -10.00
0 - 5       -10.00

Preliminary

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

5 - 0   600x Play Point (0.10) 123.2 +93.20
    12x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
4 - 1   450x Play Point (0.10) 92.60 +62.60
    6x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 2   300x Play Point (0.10) 37.80 +7.80
    3x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
2 - 3       -30.00
1 - 4       -30.00
0 - 5       -30.00

Challenge 128 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 457.4 +427.4
    100x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x M21 Set (105.49)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 287.0 +257.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 191.0 +161.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 118.0 +88.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 56.00 +26.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 43.00 +13.00
    5x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00
65 - 128       -30.00

Challenge 32 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 457.4 +427.4
    100x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x M21 Set (105.49)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 287.0 +257.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 191.0 +161.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 118.0 +88.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 56.00 +26.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 43.00 +13.00
    5x Treasure Chest (2.60)    

Challenge 64 Players

Entry Cost (-30.00)

30x Event Ticket (1.00)

Prize EV ()

1st   600x Play Point (0.10) 457.4 +427.4
    100x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
    1x M21 Set (105.49)    
2nd   600x Play Point (0.10) 287.0 +257.0
    75x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    40x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
3 - 4   450x Play Point (0.10) 191.0 +161.0
    50x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    20x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
5 - 8   450x Play Point (0.10) 118.0 +88.00
    25x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
    10x Qualifier Point (0.80)    
9 - 16   300x Play Point (0.10) 56.00 +26.00
    10x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
17 - 32   300x Play Point (0.10) 43.00 +13.00
    5x Treasure Chest (2.60)    
33 - 64   150x Play Point (0.10) 15.00 -15.00